Leave Well Enough Alone

It was a mixed bag of a night.

The evening started off with the sixteenth tournament in my local series. The hands I was dealt were not particularly good and my stack was eaten slowly away. The second hand after I was moved to the other table to replace a bust-out I was felted when my AK was outdrawn by a KQ. I went through those chips as well, forcing a second re-buy before we consolidated to the final table. After that, though, I started to pick up some hands and accumulate chips, knocking out five of the original eleven players. Came up in second place, which meant that not only did I win enough to cover my buy-ins and add-on but I actually extended my point lead for the Player of the Year somewhat (though the second of the quarterly double-point events coming up may eradicate that). I’ve been in the lead (or tied for it) for seven events now, since the middle of October.

Then I messed up in a PokerStars Aussie Millions satellite. I was doing far better than I expected; the satellites have unlimited re-buys for an hour and I not only didn’t re-buy but at the add-on time I maintained a position about 23rd in the field without that, either. As the field narrowed down to about 30 remaining entries (133 originally, with 201 re-buys and 85 add-ons), I was in 2nd position with about 40K in chips. The prize pool was large enough that the top eleven spots were going to get tickets to the $530 qualifier tournament and 12th place would get $455. I was sitting pretty. Except that I refused to sit and soon I was bleeding chips. The blinds, admittedly, were taking chunks out of my stack at 400/800/75, and with more than an hour to go I couldn’t just sit there and glide into the money, but I played it poorly after the having worked my way up from a 1.5K starting stack.

Deep-Sixed

Forty minutes into Midnight Madness (40/80 for the blinds) tonight and I get pocket aces on the button with a raise and a call at 160 ahead of me. I pop it to 480 and the only caller is the big stack (9K where nobody else is above 3K and most are under 2K). The flop is JsTc6s. I bet 800 with another 1,300 behind, he puts me all-in, and shows pocket sixes when I call. Ks and Ts on the board, so the full house takes me down again.

Dialing In?

Full Tilt Midnight Madness tournament results

I’ve played Full Tilt’s Midnight Madness eight times now, mostly in the week since Christmas, with a deep run last Saturday night. Since that win, I’ve been trying to fine-tune a new strategy based on the results of my pre-flop calculator testing.

I see a few possibilities from the results above:

  1. I don’t have enough data points to accurately gauge the results of the new strategy.
  2. I’m too distracted by looking up hands on the new tables I’m using to pay attention to the rest of the action and play as well as I had been.
  3. I’m delivering consistent results but I need to get a better feel for the new strategy and improve it.
  4. The new strategy sucks compared to the old strategy.

Crowded

Full houses were my bane in a tournament tonight. I called a bet on the turn with a straight in my hand and a set of threes for the bettor, then a queen on the river paired his other card, leaving me with just a bit more than the big blind, which was a couple of hands away from me. I managed to triple up going all-in with T7o and hitting a straight just before I was forced to take whatever I was dealt, but another full house in the next round took me down for good.

Full Tilt’s Midnight Madness was a bust tonight. Only big chip win in the 40 hands I played was with a Mutant Jack, then my king-high flush was beaten by an ace-high flush.

Progress or a breakthrough on the pre-flop odds calculator I’ve been working on (or not) since last Christmas (the original Objective-C files are dated Christmas Eve, 2009). Maybe more on that soon.

New Year

Beard-Free Since 2011

Unbearded for the first time in more than two decades.

I’d been planning to play one of the last satellites for today’s Full Tilt Aussie Millions qualifier at 1:20 this morning but after having a couple of beers, a Mai Tai, and a rum and Diet Coke while listening to The Jim-Jams at Mississippi Pizza for New Year’s Eve, I fell asleep about 1. Australia and The Bahamas are safe from me this year.

Instead, I shaved off my beard.